GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

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Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

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12 markets tracked

Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	33%
Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	20%
Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	19%
Will Nvidia have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will Alibaba have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will Z.ai have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will Mistral have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will Baidu have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will ByteDance have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	6%
Will Deepseek have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	6%
Will Moonshot AI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	4%
Will 01A1 have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

33%

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$0.00

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About This Event

In 2026 If X has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET. If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If X has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET. If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If ByteDance has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will ByteDance have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Z.ai have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Nvidia have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Moonshot AI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Mistral have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Deepseek have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Baidu have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Alibaba have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will 01A1 have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Volume$0.00

Markets12

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KALSHI

Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

If OpenAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

KALSHI

Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHITech

Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

If xAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

KALSHI

Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

KALSHI

Will Nvidia have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Nvidia have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

If Nvidia has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

KALSHI

Will Alibaba have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Alibaba have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

If Alibaba has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

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Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

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Events (1)

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Markets (12)

Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will Nvidia have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will Nvidia have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will Alibaba have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will Alibaba have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will Nvidia have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will Nvidia have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will Alibaba have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Will Alibaba have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

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