Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?

Total Volume

$12.32K

Events

Markets

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New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?

Vol

$12.32K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $12.32K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.32K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?	Kalshi	93%
Will Kathy Hochul win Dutchess County?	Kalshi	82%
Will Kathy Hochul win Saratoga County?	Kalshi	72%
Will Kathy Hochul win Rensselaer County?	Kalshi	68%
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County?	Kalshi	41%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$12.32K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2026 If Kathy Hochul wins the 2026 New York Governor election X then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If Kathy Hochul wins the 2026 New York Governor election X then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Kathy Hochul wins the 2026 New York Governor election in Schenectady County, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Kathy Hochul win Saratoga County?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Kathy Hochul win Rensselaer County?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Kathy Hochul win Dutchess County?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $598
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?

Volume$12.32K

Markets5

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KALSHI

Will Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?

If Kathy Hochul wins the 2026 New York Governor election in Schenectady County, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This

KALSHI

Will Kathy Hochul win Dutchess County?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Kathy Hochul win Dutchess County?

If Kathy Hochul wins the 2026 New York Governor election in Dutchess County, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This ma

KALSHI

Will Kathy Hochul win Saratoga County?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.0¢No 28.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Kathy Hochul win Saratoga County?

If Kathy Hochul wins the 2026 New York Governor election in Saratoga County, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This ma

KALSHI

Will Kathy Hochul win Rensselaer County?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.0¢No 32.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Kathy Hochul win Rensselaer County?

If Kathy Hochul wins the 2026 New York Governor election in Rensselaer County, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This

KALSHI

Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County?

If Kathy Hochul wins the 2026 New York Governor election in Nassau County, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This mark

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Average Yes Price

71¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/JIqkC-" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?"></iframe>

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New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?

New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?

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Will Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?

Markets (5)

Will Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Dutchess County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Dutchess County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Saratoga County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Saratoga County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Rensselaer County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Rensselaer County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?

Will Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Dutchess County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Dutchess County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Saratoga County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Saratoga County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Rensselaer County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Rensselaer County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County?

Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County?

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