Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings? | PredictPedia

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Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?

Name: Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?
End: 2026-04-29T13:00:00.000Z

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$5.95

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Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?

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markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

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Volume DistributionTotal: $5.95

100%

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Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?

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Market	Platform	Price
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

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50%

Top Probability

$5.95

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About This Event

As of market creation, SoFi Technologies is estimated to release earnings on April 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for SoFi Technologies's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.12 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SoFi Technologies reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.12 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?
**Category:** Earnings | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 29, 2026 (12 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** As of market creation, SoFi Technologies is estimated to release earnings on April 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for SoFi Technologies's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.12 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SoFi Technologies reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.12 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"As of market creation, SoFi Technologies is estimated to release earnings on April 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for SoFi Technologies's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.12 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SoFi Technologies reports GAAP EPS greater than $0"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6
* **Total Liquidity:** $19
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.32)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 29, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

11d 1h remaining

Apr 29, 2026 1:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

50¢

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Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?

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Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?

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Events (1)