Name: LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
End: 2026-04-20T21:00:00.000Z

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LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | PredictPedia

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35 markets tracked

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

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Single-Platform Markets(35)

Market	Platform	Price
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	59%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	52%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	52%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	51%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	51%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	51%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	51%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?	Poly	49%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)	Poly	49%
LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	Poly	48%
LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	Poly	47%
LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Poly	20%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 20, 2026 (5 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and G2 Esports in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 20 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the match against G2 Esports.

This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Shifters.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming match between Shifters and G2 Esports in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 20 at 11:00AM ET:

This market is about the total kills in Game 2.

This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 27 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under".

If"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $20
* **Total Liquidity:** $936
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Shifters: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [G2 Esports: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Shifters: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [G2 Esports: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $12
  DATA: [Shifters: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [G2 Esports: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Shifters: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [G2 Esports: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Shifters: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [G2 Esports: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Over: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [G2 Esports: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Shifters: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

4d 12h remaining

Apr 20, 2026 9:00 PM

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Average Yes Price

50¢

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LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

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Events (1)

LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Markets (35)

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

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Discussion

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