Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

Name: UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-10-25T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$694.58

Events

Markets

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UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

Vol

$694.58

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $694.58

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $694.58

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

27 markets tracked

Fight to Go the Distance?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(27)

Market	Platform	Price
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	64%
Will the fight be won by decision?	Poly	55%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Over/Under 3.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Over/Under 4.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 4?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 5?	Poly	51%
Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 1?	Poly	51%
Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 4?	Poly	51%
Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 5?	Poly	51%
Will Movsar Evloev win in Round 1?	Poly	51%
Will Movsar Evloev win in Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will Movsar Evloev win in Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will Movsar Evloev win in Round 4?	Poly	51%
Will Movsar Evloev win in Round 5?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Alexander Volkanovski win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	50%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Poly	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

64%

Top Probability

$694.58

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkanovski" if Alexander Volkanovski is officially declared the winner of the fight against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Movsar Evloev" if Movsar Evloev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 25, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkanovski" if Alexander Volkanovski is officially declared the winner of the fight against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.

It will resolve to "Movsar Evloev" if Movsar Evloev is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkanovski" if Alexander Volkanovski is officially declared the winner of the fight against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.

It will resolve to "Movsar Evloev" if Movsar Evloev is officially declared the winner"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $695
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $695
  DATA: [Alexander Volkanovski: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Movsar Evloev: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Alexander Volkanovski win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Over/Under 3.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Over/Under 4.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the fight be won by decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the fight end before Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the fight end before Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the fight end before Round 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the fight end before Round 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Movsar Evloev win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Movsar Evloev win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Movsar Evloev win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Movsar Evloev win in Round 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Movsar Evloev win in Round 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

Volume$694.58

Markets27

27 of 27

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POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Volkanovski and Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Dra

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by decision?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 54.5¢No 45.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by decision?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Volkanovski and Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, is won by decision, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 2?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight end before Round 2?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Volkanovski and Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, officially ends before Round 2 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stopp

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 3?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight end before Round 3?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Volkanovski and Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stopp

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 4?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight end before Round 4?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Volkanovski and Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, officially ends before Round 4 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stopp

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Oct 25, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/JS8oCn" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

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Fight to Go the Distance?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

Markets (27)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 4?

Will the fight end before Round 4?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Fight to Go the Distance?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 4?

Will the fight end before Round 4?

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Discussion

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