Name: Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets
End: 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z

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Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets | PredictPedia

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Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 1.5

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 1.5	Poly	86%
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score	Poly	66%
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	65%
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	43%
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)	Poly	27%
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	24%
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)	Poly	13%
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	Poly	12%
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)	Poly	4%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for April 18 at 10:00 AM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for April 18 at 10:00 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open un"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $486.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $46
  DATA: [Newcastle United FC: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [AFC Bournemouth: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $880
  DATA: [AFC Bournemouth: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [Newcastle United FC: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Over: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $79
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $36
  DATA: [Newcastle United FC: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [AFC Bournemouth: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $187
  DATA: [AFC Bournemouth: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [Newcastle United FC: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 1.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $112
  DATA: [Over: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Over: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 76.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

18h 47mremaining

Apr 18, 2026 2:00 PM

Ending Soon

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Average Yes Price

38¢

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Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets

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Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 1.5

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Events (1)

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets

Markets (9)

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score

Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)

Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)

Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)

Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 2.5

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 2.5

Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)

Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 1.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score

Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)

Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)

Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)

Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 2.5

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Over/Under 2.5

Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)

Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)

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