Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Villarreal vs Napoli

Total Volume

$4.92K

Events

Markets

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Villarreal vs Napoli

Vol

$4.92K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $4.92K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.92K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Villarreal wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Villarreal wins	Kalshi	46%
Napoli wins	Kalshi	30%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

46%

Top Probability

$4.92K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

VIL vs NAP (Oct 13) If X wins the Villarreal vs Napoli professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Villarreal vs Napoli professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Villarreal vs Napoli
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** VIL vs NAP (Oct 13)

If X wins the Villarreal vs Napoli professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Villarreal vs Napoli professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Villarreal wins the Villarreal vs Napoli professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Villarreal "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Villarreal wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $514
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $295
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Napoli wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Villarreal vs Napoli

Volume$4.92K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Villarreal wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Villarreal wins

If Villarreal wins the Villarreal vs Napoli professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Villarreal

KALSHI

Napoli wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Napoli wins

If Napoli wins the Villarreal vs Napoli professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Villarreal vs N

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Villarreal vs Napoli professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Villar

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/JUuo-O" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Villarreal vs Napoli"></iframe>

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Villarreal vs Napoli

Villarreal vs Napoli

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Villarreal wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Villarreal vs Napoli

Markets (3)

Villarreal wins

Villarreal wins

Napoli wins

Napoli wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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Villarreal wins

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Villarreal vs Napoli

Villarreal wins

Villarreal wins

Napoli wins

Napoli wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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