Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

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$34.99K

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Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

Vol

$34.99K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $34.99K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

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Volume DistributionTotal: $34.99K

100%

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16 markets tracked

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

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Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Eli Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	48%
Will Amir Ohana be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	48%
Will Ron Dermer be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	45%
Will Gideon Sa'ar be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	41%
Will Yair Lapid be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	41%
Will Israel Katz be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	38%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	38%
Will Naftali Bennett be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	36%
Will Gadi Eisenkot be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	17%
Will Yoram Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Yair Golan be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Yossi Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Einat Wilf be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Chili Tropper be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Benny Gantz be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$34.99K

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About This Event

Before Oct 27, 2027 If X formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Foreign Affairs in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post counts;

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Oct 27, 2027

If X formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Foreign Affairs in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post counts;

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yair Lapid formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Foreign Affai"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $35.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yair Lapid be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yair Golan be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yossi Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Yoram Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ron Dermer be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Naftali Bennett be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Israel Katz be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gideon Sa'ar be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Gadi Eisenkot be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Einat Wilf be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Eli Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Chili Tropper be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Benjamin Netanyahu be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Benny Gantz be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Amir Ohana be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Avigdor Lieberman be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

Volume$34.99K

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KALSHI

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Eli Cohen formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Foreign Affair

KALSHI

Will Amir Ohana be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Amir Ohana be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Amir Ohana formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Foreign Affai

KALSHI

Will Ron Dermer be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.0¢No 55.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ron Dermer be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Ron Dermer formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Foreign Affai

KALSHI

Will Gideon Sa'ar be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Gideon Sa'ar be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Gideon Sa'ar formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Foreign Aff

KALSHI

Will Yair Lapid be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Yair Lapid be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Yair Lapid formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Foreign Affai

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/JXLGoS" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?"></iframe>

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Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

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Will Eli Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

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Events (1)

Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

Markets (16)

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Amir Ohana be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Amir Ohana be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Ron Dermer be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Ron Dermer be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gideon Sa'ar be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gideon Sa'ar be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yair Lapid be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yair Lapid be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Amir Ohana be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Amir Ohana be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Ron Dermer be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Ron Dermer be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gideon Sa'ar be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gideon Sa'ar be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yair Lapid be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yair Lapid be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

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