Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves

Total Volume

$13.08K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves

Vol

$13.08K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $13.08K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.08K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins	Kalshi	55%
Felipe Meligeni Alves wins	Kalshi	46%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

55%

Top Probability

$13.08K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves (Oct 12) If X wins the Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walk

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves (Oct 12)

If X wins the Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walk

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Felipe Meligeni Alves wins the Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves profe"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Felipe Meligeni Alves wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $9.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves

Volume$13.08K

Markets2

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KALSHI

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 54.5¢No 45.5¢

KALSHISports

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins

If Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins the Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves pro

KALSHI

Felipe Meligeni Alves wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

KALSHISports

Felipe Meligeni Alves wins

If Felipe Meligeni Alves wins the Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves profe

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/JXzB_-" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves"></iframe>

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Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins

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Events (1)

Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves

Markets (2)

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins

Felipe Meligeni Alves wins

Felipe Meligeni Alves wins

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Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins

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Aguilar Cardozo vs Meligeni Alves

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins

Felipe Meligeni Alves wins

Felipe Meligeni Alves wins

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