Will Trump sue Powell by March 31? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

Name: Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.39K

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Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

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Polymarket

markets · $6.39K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.39K

100%

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1 market tracked

Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?	Poly	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

12%

Top Probability

$6.39K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, his administration (including any executive branch department, agency, or office), or the United States federal government files a lawsuit against Jerome Powell, in his personal or official capacity, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The lawsuit must be filed in a U.S. federal or state court and must name Jerome Powell as a defendant. An announcement of a lawsuit will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolutio

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (74 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, his administration (including any executive branch department, agency, or office), or the United States federal government files a lawsuit against Jerome Powell, in his personal or official capacity, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The lawsuit must be filed in a U.S. federal or state court and must name Jerome Powell as a defendant.

An announcement of a lawsuit will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolutio

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, his administration (including any executive branch department, agency, or office), or the United States federal government files a lawsuit against Jerome Powell, in his personal or official capacity, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this m"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.35)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $6.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

73d 15h remaining

Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

12¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/J_zN06" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?"></iframe>

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Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

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Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)