Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Total Volume

$73.55K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Vol

$73.55K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $73.55K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $73.55K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	91%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	84%
Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	51%
Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	17%
Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will there be more than 225 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will there be more than 250 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will there be more than 275 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$73.55K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

10/5 - 10/11 If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 10/5 - 10/11

If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 220 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earli"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $73.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2027): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2027): Vol $599
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2027): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will there be more than 275 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will there be more than 250 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2027): Vol $31.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will there be more than 225 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2027): Vol $18.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2027): Vol $9.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2027): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Volume$73.55K

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

KALSHI

Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earli

KALSHI

Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.5¢No 16.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 180 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earli

KALSHI

Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earli

KALSHI

Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earli

KALSHI

Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 210 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earli

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Average Yes Price

29¢

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Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

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Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Markets (9)

Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

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Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?

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