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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner

Name: Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner
End: 2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$499.63K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner

Vol

$499.63K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $499.63K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $499.63K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	92%
Will Kweon Seong-dong win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	7%
Will Song Gi-heon win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	1%
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Kim Wan-seop win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Lee Chul-gyu win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Kim Do-kyun win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Won Chang-muk win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$499.63K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Gangwon Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Gangwon Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will res

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** The Gangwon Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Gangwon Province. 

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will res

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The Gangwon Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Gangwon Province. 

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $499.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $149.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.34)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kim Wan-seop win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $29.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $27.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lee Chul-gyu win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $30.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $41.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Kweon Seong-dong win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $26.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Kim Do-kyun win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $139.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $46.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Song Gi-heon win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $88.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Won Chang-muk win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $70.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics