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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
Vol

PM $3.8K

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Events

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 18% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes18%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $3.8K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of either Governor Gavin Newsom or Jennifer Siebel Newsom between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

PM $579.7K · K 3.44M contracts

Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?

Kalshi: Will any federal appellate court (including the U.S. Supreme Court) rule reverses or vacates the district court's November 24, 2025 order dismissing the indictment of James Comey, such that the criminal prosecution may proceed?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9.7%Rules differK Yes 8.5%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.6%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 6.6%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

PM $319.6K
Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

PM $95.1K
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes 13.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

PM $1.3K
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

PM $107.4K
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Yes 24%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Yes 5.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?

Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?

PM $16.1K
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?Yes 9.5%
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by October 31?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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