Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?

Total Volume

$18.77K

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Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?

Vol

$18.77K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $18.77K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $18.77K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Angie Nixon win Broward County?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Angie Nixon win Broward County?	Kalshi	94%
Will Angie Nixon win Duval County?	Kalshi	81%
Will Angie Nixon win Hillsborough County?	Kalshi	67%
Will Angie Nixon win Pinellas County?	Kalshi	44%
Will Angie Nixon win Miami-Dade County?	Kalshi	36%
Will Angie Nixon win St. Lucie County?	Kalshi	24%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$18.77K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

In 2026 If Angie Nixon wins the 2026 Florida Senate general election X then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If Angie Nixon wins the 2026 Florida Senate general election X then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Angie Nixon wins the 2026 Florida Senate general election in St. Lucie County, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: Th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $18.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Angie Nixon win St. Lucie County?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Angie Nixon win Pinellas County?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Angie Nixon win Miami-Dade County?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $7.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Angie Nixon win Hillsborough County?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Angie Nixon win Duval County?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Angie Nixon win Broward County?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?

Volume$18.77K

Markets6

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KALSHI

Will Angie Nixon win Broward County?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Angie Nixon win Broward County?

If Angie Nixon wins the 2026 Florida Senate general election in Broward County, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This

KALSHI

Will Angie Nixon win Duval County?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Angie Nixon win Duval County?

If Angie Nixon wins the 2026 Florida Senate general election in Duval County, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This m

KALSHI

Will Angie Nixon win Hillsborough County?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.0¢No 33.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Angie Nixon win Hillsborough County?

If Angie Nixon wins the 2026 Florida Senate general election in Hillsborough County, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition:

KALSHI

Will Angie Nixon win Pinellas County?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.0¢No 56.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Angie Nixon win Pinellas County?

If Angie Nixon wins the 2026 Florida Senate general election in Pinellas County, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: Thi

KALSHI

Will Angie Nixon win Miami-Dade County?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Angie Nixon win Miami-Dade County?

If Angie Nixon wins the 2026 Florida Senate general election in Miami-Dade County, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: T

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57¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/JmR_My" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?"></iframe>

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Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?

Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?

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Will Angie Nixon win Broward County?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?

Markets (6)

Will Angie Nixon win Broward County?

Will Angie Nixon win Broward County?

Will Angie Nixon win Duval County?

Will Angie Nixon win Duval County?

Will Angie Nixon win Hillsborough County?

Will Angie Nixon win Hillsborough County?

Will Angie Nixon win Pinellas County?

Will Angie Nixon win Pinellas County?

Will Angie Nixon win Miami-Dade County?

Will Angie Nixon win Miami-Dade County?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Angie Nixon win Broward County?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?

Will Angie Nixon win Broward County?

Will Angie Nixon win Broward County?

Will Angie Nixon win Duval County?

Will Angie Nixon win Duval County?

Will Angie Nixon win Hillsborough County?

Will Angie Nixon win Hillsborough County?

Will Angie Nixon win Pinellas County?

Will Angie Nixon win Pinellas County?

Will Angie Nixon win Miami-Dade County?

Will Angie Nixon win Miami-Dade County?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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