Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Name: Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien
End: 2026-10-19T14:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$26.03

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Vol

$26.03

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $26.03

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $26.03

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Poly	75%
Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Poly	66%
Set 1 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Poly	62%
Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Poly	54%
Luis Guto Miguel vs. Murkel Dellien: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Luis Guto Miguel (-1.5) vs Murkel Dellien (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Murkel Dellien (-1.5) vs Luis Guto Miguel (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Miguel vs. Dellien: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	49%
Miguel vs. Dellien: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	49%
Miguel vs. Dellien: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	49%
Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

75%

Top Probability

$26.03

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Murkel Dellien in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Guto Miguel' if Luis Guto Miguel advances against Murkel Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Murkel Dellien' if Murkel Dellien advances against Luis Guto Miguel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Murkel Dellien in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luis Guto Miguel' if Luis Guto Miguel advances against Murkel Dellien.

This market will resolve to 'Murkel Dellien' if Murkel Dellien advances against Luis Guto Miguel.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Murkel Dellien in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luis Guto Miguel' if Luis Guto Miguel advances against Murkel Dellien.

This market will resolve to 'Murkel D"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $26
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $26
  DATA: [Luis Guto Miguel: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [Murkel Dellien: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Luis Guto Miguel: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [Murkel Dellien: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Luis Guto Miguel: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [Murkel Dellien: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Luis Guto Miguel vs. Murkel Dellien: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Miguel vs. Dellien: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Miguel vs. Dellien: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Miguel vs. Dellien: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Luis Guto Miguel (-1.5) vs Murkel Dellien (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Luis Guto Miguel: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Murkel Dellien: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Set Handicap: Murkel Dellien (-1.5) vs Luis Guto Miguel (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Murkel Dellien: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Luis Guto Miguel: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Volume$26.03

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

POLYMARKET

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

POLYMARKET

Luis Guto Miguel vs. Murkel Dellien: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Luis Guto Miguel vs. Murkel Dellien: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Murkel Dellien in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Un

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

53¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/JpfH8N" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien"></iframe>

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Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

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Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Markets (16)

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Set 1 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Set 1 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Luis Guto Miguel vs. Murkel Dellien: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Luis Guto Miguel vs. Murkel Dellien: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Set 1 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Set 1 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Luis Guto Miguel vs. Murkel Dellien: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Luis Guto Miguel vs. Murkel Dellien: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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