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Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

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What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

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24 markets tracked

Will Elida be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Elida be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	41%
Will Fausto be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	32%
Will Hernan be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	19%
Will Iselle be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will Rachel be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will Genevieve be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will Zeke be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Yolanda be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Xavier be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Winnie be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Vance be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Trudy be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Simon be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Polo be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Odalys be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Norbert be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Marie be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Lowell be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Karina be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Julio be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Douglas be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Cristina be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Boris be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Amanda be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

Eastern Pacific in 2026 If a storm named X is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No. This market will c

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Eastern Pacific in 2026

If a storm named X is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No. This market will c

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If a storm named Zeke is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zeke be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yolanda be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Xavier be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Winnie be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Vance be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trudy be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Simon be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Rachel be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Polo be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Odalys be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Norbert be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Marie be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Lowell be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Karina be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Julio be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Iselle be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Hernan be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Genevieve be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Fausto be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Elida be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Douglas be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Cristina be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Boris be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Amanda be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

Volume$0.00

Markets24

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KALSHI

Will Elida be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Elida be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

If a storm named Elida is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 1

KALSHI

Will Fausto be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Fausto be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

If a storm named Fausto is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May

KALSHI

Will Hernan be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Hernan be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

If a storm named Hernan is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May

KALSHI

Will Iselle be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Iselle be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

If a storm named Iselle is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May

KALSHI

Will Rachel be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Rachel be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

If a storm named Rachel is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May

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What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

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Will Elida be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

Markets (24)

Will Elida be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Elida be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Fausto be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Fausto be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Hernan be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Hernan be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Iselle be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Iselle be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Rachel be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Rachel be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Elida be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

Will Elida be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Elida be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Fausto be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Fausto be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Hernan be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Hernan be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Iselle be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Iselle be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Rachel be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Will Rachel be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

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