Solana Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 22, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 0% on Polymarket.
Polymarket
- Yes0%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is titled "Solana Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET" [1]. Its rule says it "will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD data stream, and the rule states that the market concerns "the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2025-12-19T17:05:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider record was observed at 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T23:52:42.647Z [1]. The saved event contains one Polymarket market, and the sample is complete for that event because the record reports one included market and no partial sample [1]. In this snapshot, the Yes outcome is priced at 0 and the No outcome at 1 [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
No other platform's contract appears in this evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible, and no outcomes have been combined or averaged.
The listed end time is earlier than both the observation and retrieval timestamps. The title's date therefore describes a window that had already ended when this record was taken. The provider still reports the status as "active" [1], but the evidence does not explain what that status means for trading or settlement.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include trading volume, the number of traders, or any explanation for the reported prices. It does not show the Chainlink SOL/USD values at the start and end of the window, the final settlement, or whether the contract has been resolved. It also does not establish whether the displayed prices were available to trade. Readers wanting the settled outcome should check the Chainlink stream and the provider's resolution record directly.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Polymarket titled "Solana Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will be higher or lower at the end of a five-minute window than at the start. According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The resolution source is named as Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream [1]. The provider states that the market is about the price in that Chainlink data stream and not about other data sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because a contract can differ from what a reader might see on an exchange or price aggregator, even when both refer to SOL. Readers should check the resolution source before comparing any figure to a market outcome. The listed end time for this contract is 2025-12-19 at 17:05 UTC, which corresponds to 12:05 PM Eastern Standard Time on that date [1]. That date appears in the contract's title and rules as a scheduled time range. It is not an announcement of a future event, and it does not by itself show how the contract settled. The provider record describes the market's status as active at the time it was saved [1]. That status reflects the saved snapshot only, and the contract's listed end time is earlier than the date this article was prepared. A market price on a contract like this is a snapshot of trading activity at one moment. It is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability that SOL will rise. Trading volume shown by a platform also does not measure liquidity or the number of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of the Chainlink SOL/USD price over one five-minute window. Its rules compare the price at the start of the range with the price at the end of the range, so small moves in either direction decide the outcome [1]. Because the window is short and the resolution source is specified, the contract is a narrow test of one defined price measure rather than a general forecast about Solana. Readers who want to understand the contract should focus on the stated resolution source, the start and end times, and the equal-to case, which resolves to Up under the rules [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves Up if the Solana price at the end of the time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price data does the contract use?
The resolution source is named as Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream. The provider states the market concerns that price and not other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the December 19 date mean an event is scheduled for that day?
The date identifies the five-minute window in the contract title and the listed end time of 2025-12-19 at 17:05 UTC [1]. It describes the contract's time range and does not announce a separate event.
Does a market price show the likelihood of an outcome?
A price is a snapshot of trading at one point in time. It is not an executable quote or a verified probability [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.