$17.87K
1
8
$17.87K
1
8
8 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 49% |
| Poly | 48% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve to "Dragon Ranger Gaming" if Dragon Ranger Gaming win against eStar Pro in the named Honor of Kings match in the King Pro League Stage 1 Group 3, scheduled for January 17 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "eStar Pro" if eStar Pro win against Dragon Ranger Gaming in the Honor of Kings match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 5
Prediction markets are pricing in a near-certain victory for Dragon Ranger Gaming in Game 3 of this King Pro League (KPL) match. On Polymarket, the contract for "Dragon Ranger Gaming to win Game 3" is trading at 100%, indicating traders see this specific game outcome as virtually guaranteed. The broader match winner market for the entire Best-of-Five (BO5) series also heavily favors Dragon Ranger Gaming, with prices implying a win probability exceeding 90%. This extreme confidence suggests the market views a Dragon Ranger sweep or dominant performance as the overwhelming consensus scenario.
Two primary factors are creating this lopsided pricing. First, Dragon Ranger Gaming is a perennial KPL powerhouse with a history of deep playoff runs and championship contention. Their roster is typically stacked with veteran star players and superior strategic coaching. Second, KuaiShow Gaming is generally considered a mid-to-lower tier team in the league, often struggling against top-tier opposition like Dragon Ranger. Historical head-to-head records in recent splits likely show a decisive advantage for Dragon Ranger, making a Game 3 victory during a probable series sweep a logical expectation for traders. The thin market volume of $4K, however, means this price is set by a small number of confident participants.
Given the 100% price, the only catalyst for change would be a major, last-minute disruption that the market has not priced in. This could include an unexpected player absence or health issue for a key Dragon Ranger star, such as their star jungler or mid-laner, announced just before the January 15 match. A dramatic, off-meta strategy draft from KuaiShow Gaming that catches Dragon Ranger completely by surprise in the early games could also theoretically shift momentum. However, with the match resolving in just one day, the window for such a shock is extremely narrow, which is why the market reflects such high confidence in the established competitive hierarchy.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns a professional Honor of Kings esports match scheduled for January 15 at 7:00 AM ET. The match is a Best-of-Five (BO5) series between Dragon Ranger Gaming and KuaiShow Gaming, taking place as part of Group 3 in Stage 1 of the 2024 King Pro League (KPL). The KPL is the premier professional league for Honor of Kings, a multiplayer online battle arena (MOBA) game developed by TiMi Studio Group and published by Tencent Games. The league is a cornerstone of the game's global esports ecosystem, featuring structured seasons with group stages and playoffs that culminate in a world championship. This specific match is significant as it impacts the standings in Group 3, influencing which teams advance to the subsequent playoff stage of the competition. Interest in this market stems from the competitive rivalry between the two teams, their recent performances, and the high stakes of KPL group stage matches, which attract millions of viewers across streaming platforms in China and internationally.
The King Pro League was officially launched in 2016, establishing a formal professional structure for Honor of Kings competition. The league has since expanded from a few teams to a franchised model with 16 fixed slots, promoting stability and long-term investment. The 2024 season follows a format introduced in recent years, designed to increase the number of meaningful matches and provide more consistent competitive action throughout the year. Historically, Dragon Ranger Gaming has been one of the league's most decorated organizations, winning multiple KPL titles in 2018 and 2019, and they are often seen as a benchmark for excellence. KuaiShow Gaming, while newer to the top tier, has a history of performing well in regular seasons and making deep playoff runs, establishing a rivalry with several legacy teams including DRG. Their head-to-head record in previous KPL splits is closely contested, adding historical weight to this group stage encounter. Past matches between these two have often been decisive for playoff seeding, a precedent that raises the stakes for this January 15 fixture.
This match matters significantly within the multi-billion dollar mobile esports industry. Honor of Kings consistently generates some of the highest viewership figures in esports globally, with key KPL matches attracting peak concurrent viewership in the tens of millions. The performance of teams like DRG and KSG directly influences sponsor engagement, merchandise sales, and franchise valuations. For the players, strong results in the group stage are essential for securing playoff bonuses, maintaining roster spots, and enhancing personal brand value for streaming and endorsements. Beyond immediate economics, the outcome influences the competitive narrative for the entire season, shaping fan engagement and media coverage. A win for KuaiShow Gaming could signal a shifting competitive landscape, while a victory for Dragon Ranger Gaming would reinforce the dominance of established systems. The result also has implications for international tournaments, as KPL standings are a key factor in selecting representatives for the Honor of Kings International Championship (KIC).
As of the market creation date, both Dragon Ranger Gaming and KuaiShow Gaming are actively competing in the KPL Stage 1 group phase. The match is confirmed on the official KPL schedule for January 15, 2024, at 7:00 AM ET (8:00 PM local time in China). Teams have likely completed their initial matches in the group, and this fixture represents a pivotal mid-stage clash. Rosters for the 2024 season are finalized, with both organizations having made potential off-season adjustments to their starting lineups and coaching staff. The latest developments would include any publicly released pre-match analytics, player interviews, or team form guides published by official KPL media partners and community analysts in the days leading up to the match.
The King Pro League is the top-tier professional esports league for the mobile game Honor of Kings. It features 16 franchised teams from China competing in seasonal tournaments, with a format including group stages and playoffs, culminating in a championship and qualification for international events.
The match will be broadcast live on official KPL streaming partners, which typically include platforms like Huya, DouYu, and Bilibili in China. International viewers can often watch via the game's official esports channels on YouTube or other regional streaming services that hold broadcasting rights.
BO5 stands for Best-of-Five. It means the two teams will play up to five individual games within the match. The first team to win three games is declared the winner of the series. This format is common in playoff and important group stage matches as it tests depth of strategy and consistency.
Star players change per season due to roster moves. For the most current information, viewers should check the official KPL website or team social media for the announced starting lineup, which will detail the players specializing in roles like Mid Laner, Jungler, or Gold Lane (carry) for this specific match.
According to the market description, if the game is postponed, the prediction market will remain open until the game has been completed. The resolution will be based on the official result from the rescheduled match as determined by the KPL organizers.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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