Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor

Total Volume

$10.90K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor

Vol

$10.90K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $10.90K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.90K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	94%
Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	90%
Will Andrew Scott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	90%
Will Ryan Gosling be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	78%
Will Robert Pattinson be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	61%
Will Tom Cruise be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	43%
Will Anthony Ippolito be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	41%
Will John Turturro be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	34%
Will Sebastian Stan be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	26%
Will Pedro Pascal be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	21%
Will Yura Borisov be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	17%
Will Brad Pitt be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	14%
Will Miles Teller be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	13%
Will Jack O’Connell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	12%
Will Dominic Sessa be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	12%
Will Jordan Firstman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$10.90K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Best Actor | 32 If X is on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event oc

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Best Actor | 32

If X is on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event oc

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yura Borisov is on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yura Borisov be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tom Cruise be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Sebastian Stan be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Robert Pattinson be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ryan Gosling be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Pedro Pascal be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Miles Teller be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will John Turturro be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jack O’Connell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Jordan Firstman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Dominic Sessa be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Brad Pitt be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Andrew Scott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Anthony Ippolito be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor

Volume$10.90K

Markets16

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KALSHI

Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If John Malkovich is on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed b

KALSHI

Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Matt Damon is on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, o

KALSHI

Will Andrew Scott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Andrew Scott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Andrew Scott is on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by,

KALSHI

Will Ryan Gosling be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.5¢No 22.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ryan Gosling be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Ryan Gosling is on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by,

KALSHI

Will Robert Pattinson be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Robert Pattinson be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Robert Pattinson is on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed

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41¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/K-pmqE" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor"></iframe>

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Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor

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Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor

Markets (16)

Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Andrew Scott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Andrew Scott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Ryan Gosling be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Ryan Gosling be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Robert Pattinson be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Robert Pattinson be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor

Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Andrew Scott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Andrew Scott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Ryan Gosling be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Ryan Gosling be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Robert Pattinson be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Robert Pattinson be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related News & Context

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