GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?

Name: How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?
End: 2027-03-31T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$15.67K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?

Vol

$15.67K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $15.67K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.67K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?	Poly	99%
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?	Poly	94%
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?	Poly	78%
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?	Poly	35%
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$15.67K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release. If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2027 (208 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.

If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $19.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.81)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech