GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next President of Estonia?

Name: Next President of Estonia?
End: 2026-09-02T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$55.74K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next President of Estonia?

Vol

$55.74K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $55.74K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $55.74K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?	Poly	100%
Will Indrek Laul be the next President of Estonia?	Poly	0%
Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia?	Poly	0%
Will Mart Helme be the next President of Estonia?	Poly	0%
Will Indrek Tarand be the next President of Estonia?	Poly	0%
Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?	Poly	0%
Will Hannes Hanso be the next President of Estonia?	Poly	0%
Will Maive Rute be the next President of Estonia?	Poly	0%
Will Riina Kionka be the next President of Estonia?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$55.74K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next President of Estonia?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $55.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $94.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.59)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Mart Helme be the next President of Estonia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 2, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 2, 2026): Vol $41.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Indrek Laul be the next President of Estonia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 2, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 2, 2026): Vol $915
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Indrek Tarand be the next President of Estonia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 2, 2026): Vol $741
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 2, 2026): Vol $933
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Hannes Hanso be the next President of Estonia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 2, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Riina Kionka be the next President of Estonia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 2, 2026): Vol $996
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Maive Rute be the next President of Estonia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 2, 2026): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics