Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIMentions

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Total Volume

$36.75K

Events

Markets

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Vol

$36.75K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $36.75K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $36.75K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ilhan / Omar)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ilhan / Omar)	Kalshi	98%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Russia / Russian)	Kalshi	81%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Immigrant / Immigration)	Kalshi	80%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Hurricane / Isaias)	Kalshi	80%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy)	Kalshi	78%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Saudi)	Kalshi	77%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Trump (5+ times))	Kalshi	77%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Iran / Iranian)	Kalshi	66%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Pope Leo)	Kalshi	63%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Flood / Flooding)	Kalshi	59%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (ICE)	Kalshi	45%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Paris)	Kalshi	20%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Protester)	Kalshi	13%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Lincoln / Navy)	Kalshi	12%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (North Korea / North Korean)	Kalshi	10%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (SpaceX / NASA)	Kalshi	9%
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Maduro)	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$36.75K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

any host or reporter - ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 If any host or reporter says X Y Z as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight or

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** any host or reporter - ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026

If any host or reporter says X Y Z as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight or

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If 
 any host or reporter says Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026
, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 will be primarily used to resol"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $36.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Trump (5+ times))
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (SpaceX / NASA)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $252
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Saudi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Russia / Russian)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Protester)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $581
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Pope Leo)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Paris)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (North Korea / North Korean)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Maduro)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $185
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Lincoln / Navy)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $495
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Iran / Iranian)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $600
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Immigrant / Immigration)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ilhan / Omar)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $5.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (ICE)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Hurricane / Isaias)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Flood / Flooding)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $824
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume$36.75K

Markets17

17 of 17

Sort:

KALSHI

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ilhan / Omar)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ilhan / Omar)

If any host or reporter says Ilhan / Omar as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a

KALSHI

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Russia / Russian)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢

KALSHIWorld

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Russia / Russian)

If any host or reporter says Russia / Russian as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market;

KALSHI

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Immigrant / Immigration)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHIOther

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Immigrant / Immigration)

If any host or reporter says Immigrant / Immigration as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the m

KALSHI

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Hurricane / Isaias)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢

KALSHIClimate

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Hurricane / Isaias)

If any host or reporter says Hurricane / Isaias as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market

KALSHI

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.5¢No 22.5¢

KALSHITech

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy)

If any host or reporter says Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 will be primarily used to resol

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/K9YoXy" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?"></iframe>

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What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ilhan / Omar)

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Events (1)

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Markets (17)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ilhan / Omar)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ilhan / Omar)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Russia / Russian)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Russia / Russian)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Immigrant / Immigration)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Immigrant / Immigration)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Hurricane / Isaias)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Hurricane / Isaias)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy)

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What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ilhan / Omar)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ilhan / Omar)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ilhan / Omar)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Russia / Russian)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Russia / Russian)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Immigrant / Immigration)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Immigrant / Immigration)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Hurricane / Isaias)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Hurricane / Isaias)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy)

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 12, 2026? (Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy)

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