Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Next Gemini Pro model release

Total Volume

$70.48K

Events

Markets

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Next Gemini Pro model release

Vol

$70.48K

Events

Markets

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $70.48K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $70.48K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?	Kalshi	42%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?	Kalshi	36%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

42%

Top Probability

$70.48K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

next Gemini Pro model If Google releases next Gemini Pro model before X 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Gemini Pro model release
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** next Gemini Pro model

If Google releases next Gemini Pro model before X 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Google releases next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $70.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $29.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $7.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $26.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Next Gemini Pro model release

Volume$70.48K

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?

If Google releases next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if

KALSHI

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?

If Google releases next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early i

KALSHI

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?

If Google releases next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if

KALSHI

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026?

If Google releases next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early i

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23¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/KAV5JA" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Next Gemini Pro model release"></iframe>

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Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Next Gemini Pro model release

Markets (4)

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026?

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Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Next Gemini Pro model release

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026?

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026?

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