Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Bahia vs Mirassol: Team Total

Total Volume

$1.10K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Bahia vs Mirassol: Team Total

Vol

$1.10K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.10K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.10K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Bahia score over 0.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bahia score over 0.5 goals?	Kalshi	100%
Will Bahia score over 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	64%
Will Mirassol score over 0.5 goals?	Kalshi	55%
Will Bahia score over 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	32%
Will Mirassol score over 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	30%
Will Mirassol score over 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	24%
Will Bahia score over 3.5 goals?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$1.10K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

BAH vs MIR (Oct 11) If X records above Y goals in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers X vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. Own goals count towards the te

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bahia vs Mirassol: Team Total
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BAH vs MIR (Oct 11)

If X records above Y goals in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers X vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. Own goals count towards the te

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Bahia records above 3.5 goals in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bahia score over 3.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Mirassol score over 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Mirassol score over 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Mirassol score over 0.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Bahia score over 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Bahia score over 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $196
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Bahia score over 0.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $889
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Bahia vs Mirassol: Team Total

Volume$1.10K

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Bahia score over 0.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will Bahia score over 0.5 goals?

If Bahia records above 0.5 goals in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to

KALSHI

Will Bahia score over 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.0¢No 36.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will Bahia score over 1.5 goals?

If Bahia records above 1.5 goals in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to

KALSHI

Will Mirassol score over 0.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 54.5¢No 45.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will Mirassol score over 0.5 goals?

If Mirassol records above 0.5 goals in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers

KALSHI

Will Bahia score over 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will Bahia score over 2.5 goals?

If Bahia records above 2.5 goals in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to

KALSHI

Will Mirassol score over 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will Mirassol score over 2.5 goals?

If Mirassol records above 2.5 goals in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers

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44¢

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Bahia vs Mirassol: Team Total

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Will Bahia score over 0.5 goals?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Bahia vs Mirassol: Team Total

Markets (7)

Will Bahia score over 0.5 goals?

Will Bahia score over 0.5 goals?

Will Bahia score over 1.5 goals?

Will Bahia score over 1.5 goals?

Will Mirassol score over 0.5 goals?

Will Mirassol score over 0.5 goals?

Will Bahia score over 2.5 goals?

Will Bahia score over 2.5 goals?

Will Mirassol score over 2.5 goals?

Will Mirassol score over 2.5 goals?

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Will Bahia score over 0.5 goals?

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Bahia vs Mirassol: Team Total

Will Bahia score over 0.5 goals?

Will Bahia score over 0.5 goals?

Will Bahia score over 1.5 goals?

Will Bahia score over 1.5 goals?

Will Mirassol score over 0.5 goals?

Will Mirassol score over 0.5 goals?

Will Bahia score over 2.5 goals?

Will Bahia score over 2.5 goals?

Will Mirassol score over 2.5 goals?

Will Mirassol score over 2.5 goals?

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