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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Name: Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner
End: 2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$48.87K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Vol

$48.87K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $48.87K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $48.87K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Poly	89%
Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Poly	6%
Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Poly	3%
Will Adam Kurtz win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

89%

Top Probability

$48.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 6, 2026 (23 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democra"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $48.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $43.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 6, 2026): Vol $29.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 6, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 6, 2026): Vol $12.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Adam Kurtz win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 6, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics