Real Madrid vs. Barcelona | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Real Madrid vs. Barcelona

Name: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
End: 2026-01-16T19:45:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.34K

Events

Markets

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Real Madrid vs. Barcelona

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Polymarket

markets · $1.34K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.34K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Real Madrid vs. Barcelona

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona	Poly	66%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$1.34K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for January 16 at 2:45PM ET: If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to "Barcelona". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 16, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for January 16 at 2:45PM ET:
If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid".
If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to "Barcelona".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for January 16 at 2:45PM ET:
If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid".
If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to "Barcelona".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.09)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Real Madrid: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [Barcelona: 34.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

7h 51mremaining

Jan 16, 2026 7:45 PM

Ending Soon

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

66¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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Real Madrid vs. Barcelona

Real Madrid vs. Barcelona

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Real Madrid vs. Barcelona

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)