Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Set 1 Winner

Total Volume

$11.00

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Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Set 1 Winner

Vol

$11.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $11.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.00

100%

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2 markets tracked

Will Tommy Paul win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tommy Paul win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match	Kalshi	56%
Will Valentin Vacherot win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match	Kalshi	43%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$11.00

Volume

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About This Event

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 (Oct 12) If X wins set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Set 1 Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 (Oct 12)

If X wins set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Valentin Vacherot wins set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shangh"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Valentin Vacherot win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tommy Paul win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Set 1 Winner

Volume$11.00

Markets2

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KALSHI

Will Tommy Paul win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.0¢No 44.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Tommy Paul win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

If Tommy Paul wins set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Roun

KALSHI

Will Valentin Vacherot win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.0¢No 57.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Valentin Vacherot win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

If Valentin Vacherot wins set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shangh

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/KHo3Sr" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Set 1 Winner"></iframe>

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Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Set 1 Winner

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Set 1 Winner

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Will Tommy Paul win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

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Events (1)

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Set 1 Winner

Markets (2)

Will Tommy Paul win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

Will Tommy Paul win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

Will Valentin Vacherot win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

Will Valentin Vacherot win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

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Will Tommy Paul win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

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Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Set 1 Winner

Will Tommy Paul win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

Will Tommy Paul win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

Will Valentin Vacherot win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

Will Valentin Vacherot win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match

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