Name: Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
End: 2026-06-16T00:00:00.000Z

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Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner | PredictPedia

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2 markets tracked

Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

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Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Poly	50%
Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Poly	49%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 16, 2026 (151 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results fr"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11
* **Total Liquidity:** $112
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.09)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 16, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 16, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

150d 12h remaining

Jun 16, 2026 12:00 AM

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49¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/KNNouJ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner"></iframe>

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Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

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Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

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Events (1)

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Markets (2)

Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

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Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

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