Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will Idaho potato production increase YoY in 2026?

Total Volume

$10.83K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will Idaho potato production increase YoY in 2026?

Vol

$10.83K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $10.83K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.83K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Idaho’s potato production for 2026 be above 138.38 million cwt?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Idaho’s potato production for 2026 be above 138.38 million cwt?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$10.83K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If USDA NASS reports that Idaho’s potato production for 2026 is above 138.38 million cwt, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the total Idaho potato production for the 2026 crop year, measured in hundredweight (cwt), as reported by USDA NASS. One cwt equals 100 pounds. The market concerns total production, not acreage, yield, value of production, or potato stocks. Resolution is based on the first USDA NASS publication reporting the 2026 Idaho production estimate; subseque

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Idaho potato production increase YoY in 2026?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If USDA NASS reports that Idaho’s potato production for 2026 is above 

138.38 million cwt, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the total Idaho potato production for the 2026 crop year, measured in hundredweight (cwt), as reported by USDA NASS. One cwt equals 100 pounds. The market concerns total production, not acreage, yield, value of production, or potato stocks.

Resolution is based on the first USDA NASS publication reporting the 2026 Idaho production estimate; subseque

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If USDA NASS reports that Idaho’s potato production for 2026 is above 

138.38 million cwt, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total Idaho potato production for the 2026 crop year, measured in hundredweight (cwt), as reported by USDA NASS. One cwt equals 100 poun"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Idaho’s potato production for 2026 be above 138.38 million cwt?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $10.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics