Name: Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense
End: 2026-04-15T21:00:00.000Z

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Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will CD Marquense win on 2026-04-15?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will CD Marquense win on 2026-04-15?	Poly	51%
Will Aurora FC win on 2026-04-15?	Poly	51%
Will Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense end in a draw?	Poly	50%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 29, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 15, 2026 (18 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 15, 2026 between Aurora FC and CD Marquense.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 15, 2026
If Aurora FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $19
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aurora FC win on 2026-04-15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will CD Marquense win on 2026-04-15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

17d 8h remaining

Apr 15, 2026 9:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

51¢

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Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense

Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense

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Will CD Marquense win on 2026-04-15?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense

Markets (3)

Will CD Marquense win on 2026-04-15?

Will CD Marquense win on 2026-04-15?

Will Aurora FC win on 2026-04-15?

Will Aurora FC win on 2026-04-15?

Will Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense end in a draw?

Will Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense end in a draw?

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Will CD Marquense win on 2026-04-15?

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Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense

Will CD Marquense win on 2026-04-15?

Will CD Marquense win on 2026-04-15?

Will Aurora FC win on 2026-04-15?

Will Aurora FC win on 2026-04-15?

Will Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense end in a draw?

Will Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense end in a draw?

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