Will Trump impose term limits on Congress? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?

Total Volume

$6.82K

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Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.82K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.82K

100%

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1 market tracked

Will a constitutional amendment requiring term limits for Congress happen during Trump's term?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will a constitutional amendment requiring term limits for Congress happen during Trump's term?	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$6.82K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Before Jan 20, 2029 If a constitutional amendment is added to the U.S. Constitution has been ratified before Jan 20, 2029 that requires term limits for at least some members of Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 1, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 20, 2029

If a constitutional amendment is added to the U.S. Constitution has been ratified before Jan 20, 2029 that requires term limits for at least some members of Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If a constitutional amendment is added to the U.S. Constitution has been ratified before Jan 20, 2029 that requires term limits for at least some members of Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will a constitutional amendment requiring term limits for Congress happen during Trump's term?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

7¢

Kalshi

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/KZk8ev" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?"></iframe>

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Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?

Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?

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Will a constitutional amendment requiring term limits for Congress happen during Trump's term?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)