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Events
GroupKALSHI

How many House members will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?

How many House members will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?
Vol

K 2.0K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

7

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 215 at 83.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Above 21583.5%
  2. Above 21083%
  3. Above 22051%
  4. Above 22543%
  5. Above 24041%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 2.0K contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

7

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Jan 3, 2027 If the number of Representatives voting Yea on adoption of a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth before Jan 3, 2027 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The vote counted is the first House vote in which the House adopts a resolution or an article of impeachment against Pete Hegseth. If the articles are voted on separately, the vote on the first article adopted counts. The following do NOT count: X vote on a motion to table, refer, postpone or otherwise dispose of an impeachment resolution, or on a special rule or the previous question X vote on a resolution or article that the House does not adopt X committee vote The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber, that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote. If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count, e.g. "Between 50 and 64", resolves to No, and any market including "zero", e.g. "Below 50", resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the resolution is adopted, any market including "435" for the House of Representatives, e.g. "Between 300 and 435", will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "435" resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source. This market will close and expire early if the vote occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?

How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?

PM $2.6K
Will 225-229 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?Yes 24%
Will 215-219 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?Yes 21.5%
Will 220-224 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?Yes 21%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?

How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?

K 0 contracts
Will the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote on adopting a resolution or article impeaching Pete Hegseth be at least 8 before Jan 3, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote on adopting a resolution or article impeaching Pete Hegseth be at least 5 before Jan 3, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote on adopting a resolution or article impeaching Pete Hegseth be at least 3 before Jan 3, 2027?Yes 50%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which Representatives will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?

Which Representatives will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?

K 0 contracts
Will Zach Nunn vote for a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth?Yes 50%
Will Warren Davidson vote for a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth?Yes 50%
Will Thomas Massie vote for a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth?

Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth?

K 75.4K contracts
Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? (Before Jan 1, 2027)Yes 90.5%
Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? (Before Nov 21, 2026)Yes 84.5%
Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? (Before Nov 14, 2026)Yes 79.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will a House committee vote to subpoena before 2028?

Who will a House committee vote to subpoena before 2028?

K 3.2K contracts
Will it be confirmed that Donald Trump Jr. is subpoenaed by a vote of a committee or subcommittee of the U.S. House of Representatives?Yes 69%
Will it be confirmed that Stephen Miller is subpoenaed by a vote of a committee or subcommittee of the U.S. House of Representatives?Yes 68.5%
Will it be confirmed that Jared Kushner is subpoenaed by a vote of a committee or subcommittee of the U.S. House of Representatives?Yes 66.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027?

Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027?

PM $4.2K
Will the House impeach Pete Hegseth by June 30, 2027?Yes 77%
Will the House impeach Donald Trump by June 30, 2027?Yes 63%
Will the House impeach Kash Patel by June 30, 2027?Yes 43%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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