Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

Total Volume

$29.49K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

Vol

$29.49K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $29.49K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $29.49K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?	Kalshi	92%
Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?	Kalshi	11%
Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?	Kalshi	1%
Will the Swiss National Bank cut more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?	Kalshi	1%
Will the Swiss National Bank cut 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$29.49K

Volume

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About This Event

Dec 10, 2026 meeting If the Swiss National Bank takes the action of X more than 25bps at its December monetary policy assessment, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Eme

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Swiss National Bank rate decision in December
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Dec 10, 2026 meeting

If the Swiss National Bank takes the action of X more than 25bps at its December monetary policy assessment, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Eme

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Swiss National Bank takes the action of maintain current rate at its December monetary policy assessment, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rate"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 17, 2026): Vol $6.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 17, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 17, 2026): Vol $10.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Swiss National Bank cut more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 17, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Swiss National Bank cut 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 17, 2026): Vol $6.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

Volume$29.49K

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

If the Swiss National Bank takes the action of maintain current rate at its December monetary policy assessment, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rate

KALSHI

Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

If the Swiss National Bank takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its December monetary policy assessment, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only c

KALSHI

Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

If the Swiss National Bank takes the action of hike more than 25bps at its December monetary policy assessment, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates

KALSHI

Will the Swiss National Bank cut more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Swiss National Bank cut more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

If the Swiss National Bank takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its December monetary policy assessment, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates,

KALSHI

Will the Swiss National Bank cut 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Swiss National Bank cut 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

If the Swiss National Bank takes the action of cut 1-25bps at its December monetary policy assessment, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only ch

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Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

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Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

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Events (1)

Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

Markets (5)

Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank cut more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank cut more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank cut 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank cut 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

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Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank cut more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank cut more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank cut 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Will the Swiss National Bank cut 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

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