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Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

Name: Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$651.92

Events

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Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $651.92

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $651.92

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?	Poly	80%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (312 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turn

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $652
* **Total Liquidity:** $145
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.51)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $652
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

311d 15h remaining

Dec 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

80¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/KrePCq" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?"></iframe>

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Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

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Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

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Events (1)