Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Name: Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$15.89K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

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Polymarket

markets · $15.89K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.89K

100%

Polymarket leads

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1 market tracked

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Poly	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

23%

Top Probability

$15.89K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diploma

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 30, 2026 (12 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).

General neutrality or polite diploma

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reveren"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $17.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.93)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $15.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

11d 3h remaining

Apr 30, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

23¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/KywA5V" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?"></iframe>

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Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

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Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)