Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?

Name: Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?
End: 2026-01-29T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$19.21K

Events

Markets

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Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?

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Polymarket

markets · $19.21K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $19.21K

100%

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1 market tracked

Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?	Poly	100%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$19.21K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Thursday, January 29, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract. This market will resolve to "Down" if, on Thursday, January 29, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is lower than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the sa

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Thursday, January 29, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract.

This market will resolve to "Down" if, on Thursday, January 29, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is lower than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the sa

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Thursday, January 29, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract.

This market will resolve to "Down" if"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $19.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $23.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.82)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $19.2K
  DATA: [Up: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [Down: 0.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

100¢

Polymarket

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Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?

Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?

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Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)