Name: United States vs. Portugal - More Markets
End: 2026-03-31T23:00:00.000Z

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United States vs. Portugal - More Markets | PredictPedia

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9 markets tracked

United States vs. Portugal: Over/Under 1.5

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
United States vs. Portugal: Over/Under 1.5	Poly	85%
United States vs. Portugal: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	56%
United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score	Poly	55%
Spread: United States (-1.5)	Poly	52%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Poly	43%
United States vs. Portugal: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	30%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)	Poly	18%
United States vs. Portugal: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	11%
Spread: United States (-2.5)	Poly	8%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** United States vs. Portugal - More Markets
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for March 31 at 7:00 PM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for March 31 at 7:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "United States" if United States win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Portugal".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $85.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.6K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 8.86)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Spread: United States (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $977
  DATA: [United States: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [Portugal: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $9.3K
  DATA: [Portugal: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [United States: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Spread: United States (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [United States: 8.3% (0.0%)] | [Portugal: 91.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $847
  DATA: [Portugal: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [United States: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. United States vs. Portugal: Over/Under 1.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Over: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. United States vs. Portugal: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $20.7K
  DATA: [Over: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. United States vs. Portugal: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $12.1K
  DATA: [Over: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. United States vs. Portugal: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $13.4K
  DATA: [Over: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $18.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

40¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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United States vs. Portugal - More Markets

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United States vs. Portugal: Over/Under 1.5

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Educational Context

Events (1)

United States vs. Portugal - More Markets

Markets (9)

United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score

United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Spread: United States (-2.5)

Spread: United States (-2.5)

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

United States vs. Portugal: Over/Under 1.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

United States vs. Portugal - More Markets

United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score

United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Spread: United States (-2.5)

Spread: United States (-2.5)

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

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