Name: Six Nations: Ireland vs Italy
End: 2026-02-21T14:10:00.000Z

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Six Nations: Ireland vs Italy | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Ireland win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ireland win?	Poly	100%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	0%
Will Italy win?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Six Nations: Ireland vs Italy
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 21, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Six Nations match between Ireland and Italy, scheduled for February 14 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 14 2026
If Ireland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $134.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $33.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ireland win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 21, 2026): Vol $68.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 21, 2026): Vol $31.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Italy win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 21, 2026): Vol $35.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/L6r2M8" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Six Nations: Ireland vs Italy"></iframe>

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Six Nations: Ireland vs Italy

Six Nations: Ireland vs Italy

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Ireland win?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Six Nations: Ireland vs Italy

Markets (3)

Will Ireland win?

Will Ireland win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will Italy win?

Will Italy win?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Ireland win?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Six Nations: Ireland vs Italy

Will Ireland win?

Will Ireland win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will Italy win?

Will Italy win?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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