Name: Bundesliga - Which Clubs Get Relegated?
End: 2026-05-28T00:00:00.000Z

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Bundesliga - Which Clubs Get Relegated? | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $22.94K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $22.94K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Poly	57%
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Poly	51%
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Poly	28%
Will FC Augsburg be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Poly	27%
Will FC Koln be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Poly	18%
Will Union Berlin be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$22.94K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bundesliga - Which Clubs Get Relegated?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 28, 2026 (133 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $22.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.5K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 9.08)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Union Berlin be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 28, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will FC Augsburg be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 28, 2026): Vol $274
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 28, 2026): Vol $9.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 28, 2026): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 28, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will FC Koln be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 28, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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