Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers | PredictPedia

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18 markets tracked

Will PSG finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

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Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will PSG finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	94%
Will Lens finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	88%
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	71%
Will Lille finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	63%
Will Lyon finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	42%
Will Nice finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	30%
Will Monaco finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	26%
Will Toulouse finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	20%
Will Lorient finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	17%
Will Le Havre finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	15%
Will Stade Rennes finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	13%
Will Strasbourg Alsace finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	12%
Will Metz finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	10%
Will Auxerre finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	10%
Will Angers finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	10%
Will Nantes finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	8%
Will Stade Brest 29 finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	5%
Will Paris finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Kalshi	2%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, April 19, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2025-2026 Ligue 1

If X is a Top 4 Finisher in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Toulouse is a Top 4 Finisher in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Toulouse finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Stade Brest 29 finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Stade Rennes finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Strasbourg Alsace finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Lens finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will PSG finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Paris finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Marseille finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Lyon finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Nice finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Lille finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Le Havre finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Nantes finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Metz finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Lorient finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Auxerre finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Monaco finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Angers finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

30¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will PSG finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers

Markets (18)

Will PSG finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will PSG finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Lens finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Lens finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Marseille finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Marseille finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Lille finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Lille finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Lyon finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Lyon finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will PSG finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers

Will PSG finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will PSG finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Lens finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Lens finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Marseille finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Marseille finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Lille finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Lille finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Lyon finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Will Lyon finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

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