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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?

Name: UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?
End: 2027-03-01T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$28.09K

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Markets

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UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?

Vol

$28.09K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $28.09K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $28.09K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?	Poly	50%
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Charles Oliveira next?	Poly	46%
Will Dan Hooker fight Charles Oliveira next?	Poly	43%
Will Conor McGregor fight Charles Oliveira next?	Poly	19%
Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?	Poly	6%
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?	Poly	6%
Will Maurício Ruffy fight Charles Oliveira next?	Poly	5%
Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?	Poly	3%
Will Islam Makhachev fight Charles Oliveira next?	Poly	1%
Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Charles Oliveira next?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$28.09K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or o

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next? 
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 1, 2027 (200 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or o

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking pla"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $28.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.3K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 21.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Dan Hooker fight Charles Oliveira next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $10.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Maurício Ruffy fight Charles Oliveira next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Islam Makhachev fight Charles Oliveira next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Conor McGregor fight Charles Oliveira next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Charles Oliveira next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $648
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Charles Oliveira next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $929
  DATA: [Yes: 45.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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