GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Name: Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
End: 2027-03-14T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$13.10K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Vol

$13.10K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $13.10K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.10K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	31%
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	9%
Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	9%
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	8%
Will John Goodman win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	8%
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	5%
Will Riz Ahmed win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	5%
Will Robert De Niro win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	5%
Will Jesse Plemons win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	5%
Will Miles Teller win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	5%
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%
Will Steve Buscemi win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%
Will Tom Holland win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%
Will Himesh Patel win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%
Will Daniel Craig win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%
Will Michael Fassbender win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%
Will Colman Domingo win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%
Will Travis Scott win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	3%
Will Channing Tatum win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	2%
Will Adam Scott win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	2%
Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	1%
Will James Ortiz win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

Top Probability

$13.10K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Support

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 14, 2027 (191 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Support

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $27.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.48)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $7.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will John Goodman win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $507
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Tom Holland win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $92
  DATA: [Yes: 7.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jeremy Strong win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Steve Buscemi win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $128
  DATA: [Yes: 5.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Riz Ahmed win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $97
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Michael Fassbender win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 3.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Jesse Plemons win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $68
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Travis Scott win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $132
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $471
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Miles Teller win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $85
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Robert De Niro win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will James Ortiz win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $75
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Himesh Patel win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Daniel Craig win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Colman Domingo win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $195
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Channing Tatum win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $145
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Adam Scott win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $92
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $293
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture