GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Name: Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
End: 2027-01-21T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$30.08K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Vol

$30.08K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $30.08K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $30.08K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	94%
Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	83%
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	72%
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	63%
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	49%
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	48%
Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	30%
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	28%
Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	25%
Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	18%
Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	15%
Will Adam Driver be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	12%
Will Javier Bardem be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	11%
Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	11%
Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	8%
Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	7%
Will Josh O'Connor be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	6%
Will Brad Pitt be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$30.08K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations 
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 21, 2027 (138 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when th

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $30.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.93)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $262
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $374
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Adam Driver be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $73
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Javier Bardem be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $399
  DATA: [Yes: 10.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Josh O'Connor be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $225
  DATA: [Yes: 6.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $432
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Brad Pitt be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $960
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $522
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $949
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture