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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Nik Airball vs Mariano: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?

Name: Nik Airball vs Mariano: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?
End: 2026-01-16T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$721.95

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Nik Airball vs Mariano: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?

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Polymarket

markets · $721.95

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $721.95

100%

Polymarket leads

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1 market tracked

Nik Airball vs Mariano: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Nik Airball vs Mariano: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?	Poly	92%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Nik Airball vs Mariano: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 16, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Mariano" if between Mariano and Nik Airball, Mariano is the player with the higher net winnings at the end of the Hustler Casino's High Stakes Friday game scheduled for January 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Nik Airball" if between Mariano and Nik Airball, Nik Airball is the player with the higher net winnings at the end of the game.

If either player does not participate at all in the Hustler Casino game, this market will resolve to the other player.

If bo

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Mariano" if between Mariano and Nik Airball, Mariano is the player with the higher net winnings at the end of the Hustler Casino's High Stakes Friday game scheduled for January 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Nik Airball" if between Mariano and Nik Airball, Nik A"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $722
* **Total Liquidity:** $277
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.61)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Nik Airball vs Mariano: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $722
  DATA: [Mariano: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [Nik Airball: 8.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

92¢

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Nik Airball vs Mariano: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?

Nik Airball vs Mariano: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?

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Nik Airball vs Mariano: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?

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Events (1)