Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

VALORANT Offseason: Derke Next Team

Name: VALORANT Offseason: Derke Next Team
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.34K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

VALORANT Offseason: Derke Next Team

Vol

$4.34K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.34K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.34K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Derke play for Team Vitality in 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Derke play for Team Vitality in 2027?	Poly	94%
Will Derke play for Karmine Corp in 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Derke play for Team Liquid in 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Derke play for Gentle Mates in 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Derke play for BBL Esports in 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Derke play for FUT Esports in 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Derke play for Natus Vincere in 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Derke play for GIANTX in 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Derke play for Eternal Fire in 2027?	Poly	1%
Will Derke play for Fnatic in 2027?	Poly	1%
Will Derke play for Team Heretics in 2027?	Poly	1%
Will Derke play for Pcific Esports in 2027?	Poly	0%
Will Derke play for ULF Esports in 2027?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$4.34K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the next team Derke officially joins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Derke does not officially join a new team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Team Vitality". If Derke joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Derke is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prio

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** VALORANT Offseason: Derke Next Team
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the next team Derke officially joins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If Derke does not officially join a new team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Team Vitality".

If Derke joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".

If Derke is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

An official signing announcement prio

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the next team Derke officially joins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If Derke does not officially join a new team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Team Vitality".

If Derke joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Ot"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.69)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Derke play for BBL Esports in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $133
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Derke play for Eternal Fire in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Derke play for FUT Esports in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $514
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Derke play for Fnatic in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $134
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Derke play for GIANTX in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $288
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Derke play for Gentle Mates in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $383
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Derke play for Karmine Corp in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $341
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Derke play for Natus Vincere in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $340
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Derke play for Pcific Esports in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $88
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Derke play for Team Heretics in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $296
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Derke play for Team Liquid in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $313
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Derke play for Team Vitality in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $995
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Derke play for ULF Esports in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $219
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports