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Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31?

Name: Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31?
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$380.85

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Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31?

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Polymarket

markets · $380.85

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $380.85

100%

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1 market tracked

Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31?	Poly	12%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (15 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Bill or Hillary Clinton, or both, provide live or recorded testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Bill or Hillary Clinton, or both, provide live or recorded testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $381
* **Total Liquidity:** $722
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.53)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $381
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

14d 12h remaining

Jan 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

12¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/LV5vZj" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31?"></iframe>

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Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31?

Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31?

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Will Bill or Hillary Clinton testify before Congress by January 31?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)