Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Smouha vs El Mahallah: Total Goals

Total Volume

$109.00

Events

Markets

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Smouha vs El Mahallah: Total Goals

Vol

$109.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $109.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $109.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	83%
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	54%
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	26%
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	11%
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	7%
Will over 5.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$109.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

SMO vs GHA (Oct 12) If over X goals are scored in the Smouha vs El Mahallah professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market wil

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Smouha vs El Mahallah: Total Goals
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** SMO vs GHA (Oct 12)

If over X goals are scored in the Smouha vs El Mahallah professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market wil

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If over 5.5 goals are scored in the Smouha vs El Mahallah professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $109
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will over 5.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will over 4.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will over 3.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will over 2.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will over 0.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Smouha vs El Mahallah: Total Goals

Volume$109.00

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

If over 0.5 goals are scored in the Smouha vs El Mahallah professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated,

KALSHI

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 54.0¢No 46.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

If over 1.5 goals are scored in the Smouha vs El Mahallah professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated,

KALSHI

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

If over 2.5 goals are scored in the Smouha vs El Mahallah professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated,

KALSHI

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Smouha vs El Mahallah professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated,

KALSHI

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

If over 4.5 goals are scored in the Smouha vs El Mahallah professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated,

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31¢

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Smouha vs El Mahallah: Total Goals

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Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

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Events (1)

Smouha vs El Mahallah: Total Goals

Markets (6)

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

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Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

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Smouha vs El Mahallah: Total Goals

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

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