Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Bank of Korea decision in November?

Name: Bank of Korea decision in November?
End: 2026-11-26T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$32.59K

Events

Markets

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Bank of Korea decision in November?

Vol

$32.59K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $32.59K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $32.59K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?	Poly	50%
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Poly	47%
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Poly	5%
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the November 2026 meeting?	Poly	1%
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the November 2026 meeting?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$32.59K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bank of Korea decision in November?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 26, 2026 (45 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Mo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $32.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $7.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the November 2026 meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 26, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 26, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 26, 2026): Vol $17.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 26, 2026): Vol $11.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the November 2026 meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 26, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld