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Events
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Real American Freestyle: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Neiman Gracie

Real American Freestyle: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Neiman Gracie
Vol

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

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Saved contracts

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Tsarukyan" if Arman Tsarukyan is officially declared the winner of the match against Neiman Gracie at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Gracie" if Neiman Gracie is officially declared the winner. If the match ends level on points or in any form of draw, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by the rules of Real American Freestyle, including any tiebreaker criteria. If no official winner is designated under those rules, or if the match is ruled a No Contest, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50." If either wrestler is replaced, this market will resolve "50-50." This market will resolve based on the official result announced at the conclusion of the event. Any later change to that result, including an overturn to a No Contest, will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real American Freestyle (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 1.20M contracts
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)Yes 89.5%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)Yes 9.5%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Ilia Topuria)Yes 1.5%
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Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

PM $763.1K
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes 7.6%
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes 0.4%
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Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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