Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

Name: Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$652.65

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $652.65

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $652.65

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?	Poly	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

12%

Top Probability

$652.65

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tony Gonzalez ceases to be the U.S Representative for Texas' 23rd congressional district for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gonzalez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be off

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (29 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tony Gonzalez ceases to be the U.S Representative for Texas' 23rd congressional district for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gonzalez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be off

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tony Gonzalez ceases to be the U.S Representative for Texas' 23rd congressional district for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gonzalez's resignation/remova"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $653
* **Total Liquidity:** $151
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.31)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $653
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Next Market Closes

28d 15h remaining

Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

12¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/L_-X5P" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)